Sunday, December 2, 2018

World & Regional Trade

World Trade


China overly lying on the world resources and markets is not healthy.  In the trade war, china increase of tariff on US good will divert china to buy similar goods from other region, lessen purchases of US goods.

similar

US overly consumption of world manufacture, service and resources is not healthy as well.


US tariff on trade, increase of US$ valuation, increase in US$ interest rate will not resolved the trade gap, but might worsen it.

US should allow inflationary pressure on import goods and reduced the consumption of this good, by not allowing increase in US$ interest rate and devaluation of US$.  But this will create dissatisfaction domestically,and could only be done gradually.

The only advantage for US is the tariff on trade provide US$ government addition revenue to pay debt, upgrade it infrastructure and medical coverage.

Regional trade and manufacture including service should go back to regional, than over rely on China, Korea, Japan and Taiwan on IT, mobile devices manufacturing,  China and Vietnam, India on manufacturing.

Regional trade and manufacture should cover more that half of regional need, with the rest from the other parts of world to reduce the burden on regional capacity.   Tariff maybe a mean to encourage this, but should be done in a progressive manner.

The world consumption role should go to China, later India, Indonesia, Thailand, Philipines the world populated counteries。


A study of world production capacity, manufacturing, agriculture, livestock, to solve the food chain supplied need, with basic income to stop hunger in the world.


Where housing are mostly locally produced.  A tax on wealth and real estate may curb excessive cost of home.

Water is another resources need to monitor closely.



世界贸易


中国过度依赖世界资源和市场并不健康。

类似

美国对世界制造,服务和资源的过度消费也不健康。


美国对贸易的关税,美元估值的增加,美元利率的上升并不能解决贸易逆差,但可能会使其恶化。

美国应允许对进口商品施加通胀压力,并通过不允许增加美元利率和美元估值来减少这种商品的消费。

美国的唯一优势是贸易关税提供美元政府的额外收入来支付债务,升级其基础设施和医疗保险。

包括服务在内的区域贸易和制造应该回到区域,而不是依靠中国,韩国,日本和台湾的IT,移动,中国和越南,印度制造业。

区域贸易和制造业应覆盖区域需求的一半以上,其余部分来自世界其他地区,以减轻区域能力的负担。关税可能是鼓励这种做法的一种手段,但应该以渐进的方式进行。


研究世界生产能力,制造业,农业,畜牧业,解决食物链供给需求,以基本收入来阻止世界饥饿。


住房大多是当地生产的。对财富和房地产征税可能会抑制住房的过高成本。

水是需要密切监测的另一种资源。